A couple weeks
ago I looked at some struggling and volatile relievers. Now it’s time to give
the good ones their due. While closing is often a crapshoot there are some who
are automatic, and this year there are ten closers putting up amazing numbers.
This is how I
would rank the top-10 closers as of right now. Rivera — a guy whose demise has
been predicted for a couple of years now — has been unbelievable this year. He
just gave up his first walk on Tuesday and has been his usual self with that wicked
cutter that breaks bats and gets outs. Soria and Wagner get a slight edge over
Papelbon because they’ve managed to keep the extra-base hits down, but you have
to love Paps’ K/BB rate. But you really can’t go wrong with any of these guys.
If you’re in need of saves and want to target someone to trade for, see if any
of these guys are available for a reasonable price. With the exceptions of
maybe Percival (injury) and Lyon (skill set), these closers will continue to
succeed this season, and they don’t possess nearly as much risk as the usual
closer does.
You might
notice the list doesn’t include Francisco
Rodriguez, George Sherrill, Jose Valverde, or Brian Wilson — the top four in the majors in saves. Each of them
has at least one glaring weakness. For K-Rod, Sherrill, and Wilson it’s too
many walks and low K/BB rates. Valverde has a 4.15 ERA and opponents have a
.781 OPS against him. These are bad indications for closers, and I can easily
see these guys racking up some blown saves in the near future.
Elsewhere...
* It was a pitcher’s duel in Milwaukee
as Jo-Jo Reyes battled Jeff Suppan. Reyes threw seven and
struck out nine, allowing just one run on two hits. He’s now allowed just the
one run in his last 12 innings, but was tagged for 14 runs in his previous 16.2
innings. Meanwhile, Suppan picked up the win by tossing eight scoreless innings
and striking out seven. He also walked five, and that’s been his problem all
season — too many walks. Despite the recent efforts both have to be considered
risky options.
* In a duel that featured a couple of
bigger names, Erik Bedard out-did Tim Wakefield. Bedard picked up the win
by throwing seven shutout innings while striking out eight and walking three.
He’s been a bit up and down this season and needs to show more consistency to
back up his ace billing. Wakefield pitched nearly as well — 8 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0
BB, 8 K — but picked up the loss. One of the hits was a home run, something
he’s been allowing far too often — ten on the year. The zero walks was nice to
see, but as a knuckleballer the walks and strikeouts are sure to fluctuate.
* Yesterday I wrote about Ian Snell and how it’s time to cut
ties. Today it’s Tom Gorzelanny’s turn
— for the small percentage of owners who are still clinging to 2007. Last night
he pitched just two-thirds of an inning and allowed seven earned runs pushing
his ERA over seven and his WHIP to 1.90. He wasn’t expected to be an ace, but
he did have an ERA of 3.89 and a WHIP of 1.40 last year. Another big Pirates
disappointment.
* Cody
Ross went 2-for-4
with two homers and four RBI. He struggles to get on base — .269 OBP — but has
a .527 SLG thanks to his nine HR. He’s really turned it on in May, when he’s
hit all of his homers. He’s not playing everyday, but continue to track his
progress if the need for an OF on your roster arises.
* Marcus
Thames also went
2-for-4 with two home runs. He’s now got five in 69 AB on the season and is
slugging .507. With Curtis Granderson and
Magglio Ordonez entrenched in their
spots and rookie Matt Joyce hitting
just as well as Thames, it’s going to be difficult for him to see regular
playing time.
* For the third time in his last four
starts Matt Garza went at least
seven innings and got the win — 8 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 10 K. This is by far his
most impressive outing, but he’s allowed two runs or less in five of his last
six starts. The problem is that he has just 29 K’s — a third of them yesterday —
and 22 walks. With that K/BB rate he’s sure to allow more runs soon.
* Joey
Votto went 3-for-3
with 2 RBI, 3 runs, and 1 SB. He’s having a great rookie campaign — .297/.362/.551
and has even thrown in three steals.
* In his first start since coming off
the DL, Jake Westbrook had a fair
outing — 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K. He had pitched great in his four starts
before the injury but give him a couple more starts to feel out what we can
expect for the rest of the season.
* Troy
Percival left
yesterday’s game with an injured ankle. He’d gotten the first two outs of the
inning but couldn’t continue. Dan
Wheeler came in to finish off the save. If Percival is out for an extended
period look for Wheeler or Al Reyes
to pick up the saves.
* Rafael
Soriano has been
activated from the DL. It’s hard to say right now what his value is, but it’s
probably not good. He may get a few save chances, but once John Smoltz returns within a couple of weeks, he’ll be the closer.
* Daisuke
Matsuzaka has flown
back to Boston to have an MRI on his shoulder. It’s still uncertain if he’ll
miss any time.
QuickTIPS
Spot-start
candidate:
Kyle Lohse vs.
Houston. Lohse has just one walk and 14 strikeouts in his last three starts.
Since 2005 he has a 3.51 ERA against Houston allowing just one HR.
Avoid:
Jeff Francis
at Chicago. Francis has been striking people out lately but goes against a Cubs
team that crushes lefties - .842 OPS. He also has a 9.38 ERA at Wrigley.
QuickTIP Results
I said start:
Livan Hernandez- ND, 6 IP, 6 ER, 13 H, 0 BB, 2 K
I said avoid:
Jonathon Sanchez - W, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 6 K



